Conversant’s Conditional Love

Seth Dillingham had a busy week writing documentation for a new feature of Conversant — conditional macros. Conditional macros probably take a bit more time to get a handle on than other features in Conversant, but if I can figure them out you probably can too.

Essentially they allow web adminstrators to do sophisticated if-then operations with macros. Why would you want to do this? Take my problem. Many months ago I posted to the support site that I’d like the ability to segregate web content — essentially what I wanted to do was create a premium content subscription area. One of the things I’d also like to do is remove the ad banners just for those folks. With the power of conditional macros, it only took a few minutes to implement this.

First, I created a “Group” called premium. Anybody wise (or foolish depending on your view) to send me any money gets added to the premium group. Then I just add this handy dandy macro to the page templates for the site:





“>http://www.burstnet.com/ads/ad5729a-map.cgi”>
http://www.burstnet.com/cgi-bin/ads/ad5729a.cgi”
BORDER=”0″ WIDTH=”468″
HEIGHT=”60″>


The first line simply tells Conversant that if the person viewing the site is a member of the “premium” group, don’t do anything at all. If they’re not a member of the “premium” group, however the “else” statement on the second line tells Conversant to display the ad code. The “endif” on the last line simply tells Conversant that this little if-then operation is finished and it should continue displaying the rest of the page.

Plus, as usual, it does all of this quickly. I could not see any difference at all in page rendering time when testing the speed with and without this conditional macro.

Oh The Irony

A number of newspapers and online sites are reporting on the Miami Herald‘s recount of Flordia ballots. The newspaper found that George W. Bush would have won even with a recount…sort of.

The irony is that if disputed ballots were recounted according to the standard that Al Gore’s lawyers wanted, Bush would have won Florida by about 1,600 votes. On the other hand, if the courts had agreed to a recount but used the standard that the Bush legal team was offering, Bush would have lost by total of three votes.

Jake Tapper wrote an insightful analysis of the latest round in the 2000 election at Salon.Com.

Is the Cyberterrorist Threat for Real?

Caroline Brenner deflates some of the more bizarre claims about the threat of cyber terrorism in a Salon.Com article, The phantom cyber-threat.

Some of the scenarios that national security policy wonks come up with are hilarious. According to Brenner,

[Anthony] Lake and other alarmists consistently ignore these and other countermeasures against cyber-terrorism and overestimate the likelihood of large-scale cyber-attacks. Take, for example, one of Lake’s nightmare scenarios, borrowed from James Adams’ book “The Next World War”:

“A cyber-terrorist will remotely access the processing control systems of a cereal manufacturer, change the levels of iron supplement, and sicken and kill the children of a nation enjoying their food.” According to a standard medical text, a lethal dose of iron for a child is between five and 10 grams. However, given that cereal generally has less than one-half milligram of iron per serving, one serving of cereal would need to contain 10,000 to 20,000 times the normal amount of iron to kill the child eating it, an amount that would render the cereal inedible. But it’s hard to imagine the cereal would ever even reach the breakfast table: Manufacturers routinely test their products before shipping them to stores and, even prior to that, would notice an increase in iron consumption.

A lot of the hype over cyber terrorism reminds me a lot of the hype surrounding the threat of bio terrorism. While it is certainly possible to pull of expensive and potentially lethal local disruptions, a lot of people underestimate the difficulty of pulling off large scale attacks.

Are China’s New Census Figures Accurate?

China recently finished a country-wide census by announcing that its population growth had slowed and its |one-child| policy was working. But are the figures reliable?

According to the official census, China’s population (including Taiwan) is 1.26 billion. Annual population growth during the 1990s averaged 1.07 percent, down from 1.47 percent in the 1980s. There are a number of questions, however, about the accuracy of the data.

Independent estimates have put China’s population as high as 1.5 billion, and the one-child policy itself is the source of much of the dispute over the accuracy of the numbers. Since it is illegal for many couples to have more than one children, it is suspected that literally millions of people with extra children in China lie to census takers and hide their children for fear of punishment.

One negative trend the official census did confirm, however, is China’s imbalanced |sex ratio|. Thanks in large part to sex-selective abortion, there are now 117 boys born in China for every 100 girls. The international average is 106 boys for every 100 girls. A sex ratio that imbalanced is usually characteristic of a country that has a lot of immigrant workers — who tend to be largely male. China is going to wrestle with some serious social problems as those children grow up.

Source:

China’s population growth ‘slowing’. The BBC, March 28, 2001.

The Return of Comparable Worth and Pay Equity

Two of the more inane ideas that came out of feminism in the late 1970s and early 1980s were those of pay equity and comparable worth. Unfortunately after lying dormant for years, feminists are trying to bring both ideas back and make them part of social policies.

Maine, for example, is attempting to institute comparable worth by law. The driving principle behind comparable worth is the claim that pay rates should be based upon the difficulty or type of job that a person performs. Typically, feminists compare the wage rates in occupations dominated by women such as nursing and compare that to the wage rates in occupations dominated by men, just as janitorial service. Nursing and janitorial work require similar skills, they argue, and so should be compensated at the same rate.

The problem with this idea is that people are not compensated according to the difficulty of their job, at least not directly. Rather wage rates are related to the supply of qualified workers. Nursing jobs, for example, have typically had an oversupply of qualified workers (largely women) and so wage rates have long been depressed. In the last ten years, however, this has started to change as the ratio of qualified nurses to positions has begun to decline, and wage rates for nurses in many parts of the country are beginning to increased markedly.

Trying to create some sort of master index of jobs and set wage rates equally across similar jobs is an absurd proposition that simply wouldn’t work. As Anita Hattiangadi of the Employment Policy Foundation notes, whom Minnesota tried a comparable worth-style system for state government employees, the main result was that female unemployment increased by almost 5 percent while male unemployment rose by only 1.25 percent. (One of the main effects of a comparable worth system would be to reduce overall opportunity which would disproportionately affect women for a number of reasons).

The pay equity idea claims that women earn lower wages than men due solely to sexism and the state needs to step in to equalize pay. Current if government statistics show that the average woman working full time makes 26 cents less than the average man working full time. Is this evidence of rampant sexism? No.

The National Longitudinal Survey of Youth provides a more likely explanation. It found that childless women aged 27 to 33 earned 98 percent as much as childless men. Although some of the wage gap is due to past sexual discrimination which prevented women in the 1960s and 1970s from access to advancement paths, today the main cause of the wage gap is women leaving the work force temporarily during their 20s to become mothers. As Patricia Hausman of the Independent Women’s Forum writes,

Study after study finds that women with children work fewer hours, accumulate less experience, and take more extended leaves from the workplace — all of which limit their advancement. While sometimes a necessity, these are often choices gladly made by women who consider being with their children more important than maximizing earnings

Hausman also scores points by wondering why feminists aren’t concerned about other pronounced gender gaps:

One might also wonder why the national conversation about equity is so singularly focused on wages. After all, females earn less, but live an average seven years longer than males. Yet, feminists have not declared Equal Life Expectancy Day to demand government intervention designed to end this injustice.

Indeed.

Source:

I am woman, hear me whine. Patricia Hausman, National Review Online, April 3, 2001.

Maine becomes first state requiring pay equity. Cindy Richards, Women’s E News, April 3, 2001.