The Ford Explorer’s Fatal Safety Error

We’ve all heard by now that the Ford Explorer SUV in combination with the Bridgestone-Firestone tires allegedly suffers from a tire tread separation problem which can lead to accidents. The National Center for Policy Analysis (which, despite the bland title, is basically a right wing think tank) reports on some interesting data based on the federal government’s Fatal Accident Reporting System. Here’s how three categories of vehicles break down when it comes to fatal accidents:

  • Passenger cars: 1.5 deaths per 100 million Vehicle Miles Traveled
  • SUVs of similar size to the Ford Explorer: 1.3 deaths per 100 million Vehicles Miles Traveled
  • Ford Explorer: 1.1 deaths per 100 million Vehicle Miles Traveled

Assuming these figures are accurate and there are no significant confounding factors, the Ford Explorer’s design flaw is obvious: their engineers didn’t do enough to prevent accidents that make good nightly news stories. Or to put it in engineer-speak, the Ford Explorer is prone to serious crumpling from high speed media turns.

Ford needs to stop worrying about the overall safety of its vehicles and instead make certain they’re media proof.

NetSlaves on Salon.Com’ 10Q

Over the past few days I’ve posted a couple things ripping on Salon.Com, and especially they’re spend-like-there’s-no-tomorrow attitude. A few weeks ago NetSlaves.Com published an thorough analysis of a recent 10Q filing by Salon.Com with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The analysis makes it abundantly clear that Salon’s major problem is Salon’s manager and executives’s poor decision making.

Writing off $1.7 million for their doomed acquisition of MP3Lit (think MP3 audiobooks)? And why are Chairman David Talbot, CEO Michael O’Donnell both clearing more than $200K in salaries in a company that had a net loss of $28 million in 2000 and no chance for profitability in 2001?

As as Steve Gillard puts it in the NetSlaves commentary, “It [Salon] spent more on content alone than it took in during 2000. Who the hell is running this company.”

Maybe trained monkeys would have done worse than Talbot and company, but its hard to see how.

Webloggers Need Better Tools (Can You Guess Which One I Recommend?)

The other day I was going on about “knowledge management” on the web and once again extolling the virtues of Conversant, which powers this web site. Disenchanted (why do some webloggers insist on these odd monikers?) wrote a good article about the limitations — many of them self-imposed — that plague many existing weblogs.

I only read a small number of weblogs precisely because of the problems that Disenchanted outlines — too many are simply links without commentary (or worse, links with poorly thought out commentary), very little context, and no easy way to follow an idea or topic (as Disenchanted points out, reading posts organized strictly by the date they were created is difficult to do except when dealing with a very short period of time.)

One of the things I notice about many weblogs is that the weblog is the beginning, middle, and end of that particular corner of the web. I think, however, that a weblog should be used as just one of a number of possible ways of viewing a web site. The chronological view of entries accomplishes a lot of important things. The obvious advantage of a weblog format is that it is very easy to tell at a glance what’s new. I am amazed at the number of sites I visit where I know people are adding articles and essays on a daily basis, but it is difficult to easily get a list of newly added content. The weblog format, by contrast, is simple, easy to follow, and puts new content where it belongs: as the first thing visitors to a site see.

The problem is that chronological order is not the only useful way of presenting information. In fact for a lot of purposes it is a downright lousy way of presenting information. At Scripting.Com, for example, Dave Winer has been writing a lot about Microsoft recently, and more specifically about the controversial Smart Tags that might be included in IE6.

Here’s a little challenge — go to Dave’s site and try to find all of the things that he’s posted to his weblog about Smart Tags. You can do this by doing a search on “Smart Tags” in the Manila search box, but that doesn’t return terribly useful results.

I see this all the time on other weblogs. Somebody writes about a certain topic and I’m curious what else they’ve written about that topic, but trying to find such information is usually like trying to find a needle in a, so I usually don’t bother.

The flip side of this is that with the tools they are using it would take most webloggers far more time than it would be worth to provide such a feature. Now lets look at how you’d accomplish this in Conversant.

Today I posted a story about Barry Bonds. If you look at the front page of this site you’ll see that story accompanied by a picture of a person playing baseball. Click on the baseball clipart and you’ll be swept away to a page which shows every article I’ve written about sports. Too much information there? Then why not visit the Baseball page, which shows every story I’ve written about baseball.

The baseball page actually didn’t exist until I decided to create it as an example for this essay. How long did it take me to set that up using Conversant? About 2 minutes. If I want I could easily go back in there and add some sappy introduction about how baseball isn’t just a sport, it is life in microcosm, blah blah blah.

The flipside is that I can use what Conversant calls “Resources” to place links to such pages within the context of any new stories I publish. For example, on my animal rights site, I have a lot of stories about PETA (the essay on that page isn’t finished, so pardon the mess). The PETA page helps keep track of all of those stories, but how does someone know to get there if they’re visiting the site for the first time? Or if they’ve just arrived at an old story about PETA thanks to a Google search, but decide they’d like to see any other articles I’ve written about PETA?

Well, look at an article about PETA on that site, lets say: Dawn Carr Receives Probation for Miss Rodeo America 2000 Pie. Notice that the first mention of PETA in that story is hyperlinked back to the main PETA page and the title tag (if you’re using IE) conveniently says that the link will take you to more stories about PETA. Again, the software did this almost automatically. I set up a Resource called “People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals,” told the software where to link that phrase to, what title tag to use, and that’s it. Now when I write an article about PETA I just put pipes (the “|” character) before and after the phrase and the software dynamically inserts the link.

What would otherwise have taken so much time to do that it would have been pointless to attempt becomes something that is configured to happen automatically.

That’s what I meant when I was raving about knowledge management the other day. What webloggers (and everyone for that matter) need are tools to make it easier to transform the isolated day-to-day postings into pages and features that put those individual posts in a broader context, and make it easier to link such posts together in meaningful ways.

This, after all, was the original promise behind hypertext, all of which seemed to get lost with all the hype over the rise and fall of the dot.coms. So far, Conversant is the only web-based application that I’ve seen that does this easily and won’t require you to mortgage your house to use (for intelligently managing large amounts of information on a Wintel machine I’ve always been partial to AskSam, though it is both expensive and requires a lot of time to really get the best results). And just like EditThisPage.Com, etc., you can get a free personal site to give it a whirl (they’re betting that like me, you’ll decide you can’t live without the software and upgrade to a paying account — like most wagers, this one’s stacked in favor of the house, though in this case simply because the software is so darned good).

Barry Bonds Has Shot at Being the Biggest MLB SLOB Ever

Salon.Com’s Allen Barra makes the case that in all of the hype over Barry Bonds’ incredible home run numbers (for those who don’t follow baseball, he’s on track to break Mark McGwire’s already ridiculous record of 70), sports reporters are missing the bigger picture: Bonds is on track to have one of the best seasons every by a hitter.

Barra is measuring hitters by what he thinks is the formual that best measures hitter performance (and I tend to agree) — Slugging Average multiplied by On Base Percentage (sometimes called SLOB or alternatively Batter Run Average). Other measures like RBIs, and Runs Scored are too dependent on the players hitting before and after a player in the lineup, and there isn’t necessarily much of a factor in determining overall contribution to scoring by a given batter.

Anyway, at this point in the season, Bonds SLOB rating is an incredible .4418. Only one player has ever maintained a higher rating over an entire season — Babe Ruth who in 1920 managed an amazing .4506.

Barra doesn’t think Bonds has a chance of maintaining this pace. But then who thought McGwire would ever hit 70. Either way, Bonds is putting on a show unlikely to be repeated anytime soon. Enjoy.

The Myth of Los Angeles’ Public Energy Utility

Salon’s Joe Conason is the latest writer to mythologize Los Angeles’ public energy utility.

The myth is that the city’s Department of Water and Power never went private and therefore avoided all of the mistakes of the market, blah blah blah. The reality is a bit more absurd.

As part of the bizarre restructing of electricity markets in California, municipal utilities retained the right to buy federally subzidized hydroelectric power from the federal government at rates that are far below the spot market-determined prices that the private utilites have to pay.

So the utility has been buying cheap, subsidized energy from the federal government, and then selling it back to California utilities at the spot price. California might as well have given them the right to print money. According to a Los Angeles Daily News report, the LA Department of Water and Power earned $100 million so far this year alone from such sales.

The DWP also has some of the common sense advantages that were taken from private utilities such as the ability to enter into long term contracts for power that allowed it to maintain low long term prices for power for LA residents.

If a private company acted as brazenly as the DWP has, folks like Consan would be outraged at such naked profiteering due almost entirely to government subsidies. Instead this ripoff of taxpayers is held up as a model way of running a public utility.

Sri Lanka Prime Minister: Please Have More Children

For years Sri Lanka has been held up as a model of what family planning efforts can achieve. Using a Small Is Beautiful campaign that began in the 1970s, Sri Lanka’s total fertility rate hovers around 2.1. But Prime Minister Ratnasiri Wickremaynayake says that small family sizes are preventing victory in Sri Lanka’s war against Tamil insurgents.

The Tamil Tiger rebel group has been waging a long civil war in Sri Lanka which has resulted in more than 63,000 killed on both sides. Recently the government launched a drive to enlist an additional 10,000 soldiers and 2,000 Buddhist monks. The effort fell flat and Wickremanayake blames the emphasis on smaller families.

At a rally he said, “It’s time for people to think that big is better” and complained that without more children to swell the ranks of the Sri Lankan army. The official government newsletter said the government plans to offer special bonuses to families who have more than two children.

Of course as The BBC noted, the failure of people to respond to the army’s recruitment drive probably has less to do with smaller families and more to do with the government’s lack of progress in actually winning the civil war.

Source:

Sri Lankans urged to multiply for war. The BBC, June 19, 2001.