Send that BBC Reporter Back to College

Another example of a reporter — this time at the BBC — completely screwing up a story. In a February 27, 2004 story, Scientists doubt animal research, the BBC reports on a study published the British Medical of Journal which was basically nothing more than an animal rights attack on animal research. But whoever wrote the BBC story screwed up and didn’t have a clue what the BMJ paper actually said. Here’s how the BBC describes the paper,

In reaching their conclusions, the London team carried out a systematic review of all animal experiments which purported to have clinical relevance to humans.

Conducting a review of all animal experiments that had some sort of clinical relevance would be a gargantuan task that would likely take years to accomplish. A lot of studies from the 19th and 20th centuries likely don’t even exist in electronic formats yet.

Which is why the researchers didn’t even attempt to do what the BBC claims they actually accomplished. As the paper makes extraordinarily clear,

We searched Medline to identify published systematic reviews of animal experiments (see bmj.com for the search strategy). The search identified 277 possible papers, of which 22 were reports of systematic reviews. We are also aware of one recently published study and two unpublished studies, bringing the total to 25. Three further studies are in progress (M Macleod, personal communication).

Leave it to the BBC to think that doing a Medline search for studies that systematically reviewed certain animal experiments is the same thing as systematically reviewing “all animal experiments which purported to have clinical relevance to humans.”

This is an especially pernicious error because one of the major problems this study has is one of selection bias. If a drug is supposed to do X but doesn’t, then researchers have a good chance of publishing a review of the animal research to see if there was anything that could have indicated the problem before going to market with the drug (ironically, in the reviews mentioned by the study, the problem was not the animal research itself but rather how the animal research results were used — or more accurately not used — by clinical researchers). Of course if a drug does exactly what it was supposed to do, then good luck getting an analysis of why nothing went wrong published. The researchers did the equivalent of tracking down man bites dog stories and concluding that more people bite dogs than vice versa.

But you’d never know that from the BBC which can’t even accurately describe the study.

What Do they Pay Reporters For?

A minor example of how reporters too often get small, but still important, details wrong. Earlier this week a California Senate Committee voted to send a bill banning foie gras on to the full Senate for its consideration.

The first story I read about this was by the Associated Press which claimed that the vote of the committee was 4-1, which would suggest the bill had quite a bit of support there. But then I ran across a Reuters story in which that news agency reported the vote as 4-2, which would be odd because usually committes like that have an odd number of people to avoid ties (although there could be abstentions).

So I decided to track down what the real answer was. Well, according to this California Senate page, the actual vote was 4-3 — both the AP and Reuters were wrong.

Sure, it’s a small issue, but how much time does it take to double check the numbers and get this right? Plus, it is relevant to the story since it indicates that the bill itself will likely fail. The bill’s sponsor is John Burton, one of the most powerful members of the California Senate, and if he could barely get the bill through is own committee, its prospects for passing the Senate (much less the House) are not very good.

World Works Games

I’ve seen quite a few companies online selling PDFs that you can print and then use to make castles, dungeons, etc. for role-playing games, but none that looked half as good as those put out by World Works Games. Plus each of their releases contains just a ton of stuff compared to their competitors (that, and this is probably one of the best RPG-related company web sites I’ve seen. Most RPG companies seem intent on having their web sites look like crap).

Brian On War

Interesting — I received an e-mail earlier today from a publisher interested in reprinting this article in a volume of opposing essays about war. That’s the second or third time that’s happened to me, and it’s always some article that didn’t make much of an impression on me after I wrote it and that I’ve long since forgotten about (I had to re-read it just to remember what the heck I was thinking back that far).

Burn Bush in Effigy — That’s Foot Stompin’ Funny

Leave it to Dave Winer to make an bizarre post finding humor in burning George W. Bush in effigy,

This evening after Rebecca’s talk, a bunch of us got together to laugh about burning George Bush in effigy. Actually I did most of the laughing. We thought that might play well on Al Jazeera. See, not everyone in America is crazy. Some people are rational. I know that Hannity will be there along with Rush Limbaugh calling us liberals. I anticipated that. I’m going to get a hard hat and a baseball bat and kick some reactionary butt. We’re going to chase them down the street until they admit that we’re bigger and stronger than they are. No more Mr Nice Liberal Guy.

Oh yeah, Winer’s quite the example in rationality there.

Mozilla/Gnome Alliance?

Seth Dillingham observes that Mozilla and Gnome are considering an alliance/merger/whatever. Like Seth, I think this is a fascinating idea.

I’ve been thinking a lot of the future of open source software in general lately. If you’d asked me a couple years ago, I’d have dismissed the idea of runnig Linux — that’s the Unix OS that’s for uber geeks, not average users. But then I woke up recently and realized that Open Source software has overtaken most of my major software tasks. I’m running Firefox for web browsing, Thunderbird for e-mail, Miranda for IM, etc.

So I’m running all this Open Source software on top of Windows XP when the obvious question hits me — how much longer until I can run everything on top of Linux?

Unfortunately, the answer is still probably “not very soon,” but that day appears much closer than it did just a couple years ago.

Toshiba’s 100gb 2.5″ Drive

Toshiba apparently is going to be first to market with a 100gb 2.5″ drive. Not only will that be the largest capacity 2.5″ hard drive, but apparently the drive will also be significantly queter, use less power and have increased shock resistance compared to current 80gb 2.5″ hard drives.

That should be impressive, as my ears can barely register any sound from my 2.5″ 80gb hard drive when it’s going full bore.

Still, it’s frankly disappointing to see how slowly 2.5″ drives are increasing in capacity. It’s nice to see 100gb drives, but how long am I going to have to wait for 200gb 2.5″ drives to become available?

Of course since desktops have dominated computer sales, R&D has tended to focus on improving 3.5″ drives. But with laptop sales taking an increasing chunk of computer sales, that could change and spur more development into 2.5″ drives.

There’s an article here speculating about companies producing enterprise 2.5″ hard drives, specifically SCSI implementations of such drives, but there higher capacities tend to be not as important as other factors.

So it looks like the 200gb 2.5″ drive is going to take a while to make it to market.

Fractal Terrains Pro

One of the things I don’t write about often here is my obssession with world building — creating fantasy worlds and obssessively filling in the details. One of the favorite software products I use is ProFantasy’s excellent Fractal Terrains Pro which was recently upgraded to include a number of long asked-for features.

Fractal Terrains is designed to make it easy to create realistic pseudo-Earth like planets. The old version was pretty cool, but the new version takes it a step further. The software now allows users to export maps in several new formats (hey, everyone should have a 6 way sinusoidal projection of their fantasy world!).

It also finally does river networks and allows for simulating planetary bombardment from extra-terrestrial objects (think craters).

And, of course, everything can be exported so that it can be used in ProFantasy’s line of mapping tools centered around Campaign Cartographer Pro.

NRA Spam

Interesting — while ripping on the National Rifle Association’s NRA News site the other day, I mentioned that in order to view the site you have to enter your name and e-mail address but that there is no formal registration system. You have to give the same information every time.

And the morons at the NRA apparently decided that it would be a good idea a) to spam people who are dumb enough (like me) to use their real e-mail address, and b) not to eliminate duplicate addresses if you visited the site on more than one occasion.

So this evening I received not one, but two spam messages from the NRA basically apologizing for some sort of technical problem they had earlier. Earth to NRA: your real problem is your complete cluelessness.