Recycling War Stories

Eric Margolis seems to have taken the article he wrote at the start of the U.S. war in Afghanistan and recycled it in an article about the start of the U.S. war in Iraq.

On Iraq, Margolis writes,

The opening weeks of the Second Oil War against Iraq – a.k.a. Operation Iraq Freedom – produced the advertised “shock and awe” all right, but it came in Washington rather than bombarded Baghdad.

His lead for his Afghanistan column was a bit more clever, if equally inaccurate,

The 21st Century went to war against the 11th Century in Afghanistan last week. The 11th Century won.

In both wars, mass defects of troops the U.S. was supposedly counting on simply failed to happen. In Afghanistan,

Mass defections from Taliban predicted by Washington’s `experts,’ didn’t happen. Afghans flocked to join Taliban. Thousands of Pushtun tribesmen from Pakistan crossed into Afghanistan over the fabled Malakand Pass to fight the American invaders.

. . . and Iraq,

The immediate uprisings against Great Satan Saddam, the quick, almost effortless “liberation” of Iraq, and the joyous reception by grateful Iraqis promised by the neo-conservatives who misled America into this increasingly ugly war have been exposed as a farrago of lies or distortions.

Iraqis, quite clearly, do not want to be “liberated” – even many who have long opposed Saddam’s brutal regime. To the contrary, the American-British invasion appears to have ignited genuine national resistance among 17 million Arab Iraqis, just as the 1941 German invasion of the USSR rallied Russians and Ukrainians behind Stalin’s hated regime.

A major problem in any war is supply lines, and Margolis informed his readers those would sink the Afghanistan and Iraqi efforts. In Afghanistan,

Who will keep a pro-US/pro-Russian regime in power in Kabul? American troops will likely be required. How will the American garrison be supplied? Just like the Imperial British invaders, who were twice defeated by the Afghans, US forces will have to rely on vulnerable land supply lines at great distances from their depots that cross narrow mountain passes.

The other alternative, air supply of an American garrison in Kabul, is a recipe for a Dienbienphu-like disaster. The Soviet Red Army tried everything from carpet bombing to poison gas and biological warfare to break the Afghans, but failed.

While in Iraq,

So far, regular Iraqi army units, militia groups and guerrillas have been delaying and harassing the northward advance of U.S. forces by assaulting their overextended supply lines, then retreating into cities and towns. Any 18th century general worth his snuff would tell you never leave enemy garrisons athwart your communications (supply lines). Napoleon said lines of communications were the most important factor in war, a lesson U.S. forces are painfully relearning in Iraq.

In Afghanistan, Margolis’ advice was clear — the United States should declare victory and leave before it was bogged down in an endless and costly war. Margolis says the same thing about Iraq, namely that even if the U.S. takes Baghdad, it will face interminable guerilla warfare.

It’s an interesting commentary on the perception of American military might that after talking control of half of Iraq in only 11 days with ridiculously low casualties, the focus seems to be “why is the war against Iraq going so poorly?”

Let A Million Mogadishus Bloom? The Media Aftermath

At least one of the organizers of Columbia’s recent anti-war are event is not happy that the media has focused largely on Nicholas De Genova’s comments that “the only true heroes are those who find ways that help defeat the U.S. military” and that De Genova hoped to see “a million Mogadishus.”

Daniel Drezner has a quote from Columbia University undergraduate Leigh Johnson saying,

It is curious to me that only his speech was picked up by the press. Keep in mind that there were 30 some speakers, who covered various topics and political positions over the course of 6 hours. But somehow, the remaining remarks hardly raised an eyebrow.

This should go down in the annals of logic as the Trent Lott defense — why did the media focus on poor Trent’s brief defense of segregation when there were plenty of other speakers at that birthday party they could have focused on. Life is so unfair!

Of course anti-war activists saying they oppose the war or Republicans saying they’re glad that Strom Thurmond enjoyed yet another birthday party are hardly news. Calling for millions of U.S. combat deaths or fondly remember segregation are.

Johnson goes on to describe the real importance of the event,

I think we have to resist every attempt of pro-war and conservative reactionaries to turn what De Genova said into an indictment of the anti-war cause, and we have to instead shift the debate to his constitutional right to say those things.

Hmmm . . . Again, I wonder if Johnson would have agreed with someone who made the same defense of Lott,

I think we have to resist every attempt of left wing and liberal reactionaries to turn what Trent Lott said into an indictment of the Republican cause, and we have to instead shift the debate to his constitutional right to say those things.

Somehow I doubt it. Of course people have a constitutional right to wish for millions of dead American soldiers as they have a right to wistfully reminisce over segregation. But don’t expect to hold on to your job for very long in either case.

This illustrates one of the biggest problems that the Left has had in organizing its anti-war protests. Much of the Left has adopted a version of freedom of speech which implies there is censorship not only when government formally forbids certain speech, but also where certain speech is unpopular enough that it lacks a forum.

One of the problems with this is that Leftists then have a lot of difficulty turning away even the nuttiest viewpoints. Rather than limit the topics and purpose of the anti-war movement to actually stopping a war, it quickly expands to every mainstream and marginal left-liberal cause under the sun. This is very reaffirming for the dedicated left-liberal, but makes it extremely difficult for the anti-war movement to reach beyond the usual suspects who are going to show up for the weekly rally anyway.

United Nations Conference on Water

Japan recently hosted the third World Water Forum that featured about 10,000 delegates from 150 countries.

The United Nations has set a goal of reducing by half the number of people without access to safe water and sanitation by 2015. But that seems very unlikely, especially as the forum itself was bogged down by competing interest groups and debate about the best approaches to bring about this admirable goal.

China received praise for its efforts to collect rainwater which has yielded enough drinking water for 15 million people. Such programs, however, rely on good governance which cannot necessarily be guaranteed over time. India also experienced a lot of initial success with a rainwater collection system which then fell victim to lack of maintenance and oversight.

But the oddest thing was the private vs. public water debate. A coalition of NGOs called the Blue Planet Project was unhappy that the last World Water Forum had given its approval for privatization of water facilities. The Blue Planet Project insists that access to water is a “right” that should be guaranteed by the state.

Right, since good governance of public resources is such a hallmark of developing countries that they are the obvious choice to manage water facilities. Privatizing water in such countries has the specific advantage of removing water management from the political realm where corruption has led to the mismanagement of water and other resources in the developing world.

Sources:

Forum tackles world water crisis. Tim Hirsch, The BBC, March 16, 2003.

World meets to tackle water crisis. Ben Sutherland, The BBC, March 15, 2003.

‘Ideological battle’ over world’s water. Tim Hirsch, The BBC, March 18, 2003.

Transitioning from Traditional to Industrial Fishing

The BBC’s Sarah Simpson recently wrote an excellent article on the sorts of problems that fish industries have encountered around the world as traditional methods of regulating the fish stock are increasingly made irrelevant by newer methods of harvesting the oceans.

Simpson reports on the fishing industry in Elmina, Ghana. Traditionally, fishing was (and is) carried out in canoes. As demand for fish has increased and Ghanans have limited economic opportunities, the rather predictable result has been overfishing that has depleted fishing stocks. Of course, this then leads to a cycle of additional overfishing which leads to yet smaller fishing yields which in turn fuels the overfishing problem. In January 2002, for example, the number of fishing permits issued in Ghana had increased by 800 percent.

Like most nation-states, the government of Ghana’s attempt to deal with the problem focuses on command-and-control regulations that try to limit catches by fiat. The problem, of course, is that Ghana lacks the resources to actually enforce such laws.

Meanwhile Simpson reports that even though the fisherman are just one step ahead of bankruptcy, they are resistant to any attempts to diversify the Elmina economy to reduce the reliance on fishing.

Fishing currently contributes an estimated 7 percent of Ghana’s GDP and is a major source of jobs and exports for the country. But handling the transition to intensive production while maintaining stocks will be a major challenge for Ghana and other nations.

Source:

Ghana Fishing Data. Agro-Ind.Com, 2002.

Fishing for a future. Sarah Simpson, The BBC, March 19, 2003.

Finally, Some Honesty out of Mugabe

The Daily Telegraph reports on a rare instance of Zimbabwe strongman Robert Mugabe actually telling the truth. Here’s how Mugabe chose to describe himself at the recent state funeral of one of his cabinet ministers,

I am still the Hitler of the time. This Hitler has only one objective, justice for his own people, sovereignty for his people, recognition of the independence of his people, and their right to their resources.

If that is Hitler, then let me be a Hitler tenfold. Ten times, that is what we stand for.

For once, Mugabe is absolutely right. He’s even using Nazi-style tactics, deploying elite units of his army openly to assassinate and sexually assault key members of the opposition party according to the London Daily Telegraph.

One other thing Mugabe shares with Hitler — thanks to spineless multilateralism by the usual suspects, he and others in his government are free to move as they want across Europe. Ah, the fresh smell of appeasement.

Source:

‘Hitler’ Mugabe launches revenge terror attacks. Peta Thornycroft, Daily Telegraph, March 26, 2003.

Anti-French Nonsense Reaches Appropriate Climax

This Yahoo! story discusses how the Air Force One menu recently featured “Freedom Toast” — French toast being verboten because of France’s refusal to agree to war against Iraq.

There’s just one problem — French toast doesn’t have anything to do with France. Instead, the invention of French toast is widely credited to Joseph French, an American colonist who supposedly first served his recipe in 1724 in Albany, New York.

Morons.