My Odd Week

The past seven days have been very odd. First my car died. Died as in when the mechanic comes out and tells you that he can fix it, but the cost to fix is going to be more than the car is worth.

Then my web sites disappeared from the face of the Earth thanks to a mixup between the telco. company and my web host. Here’s my big lesson from that — a week without constant weblogging sucks.

And it also became obvious that we needed another computer — my wife was trying to finish her thesis and ran into a lot of problems thanks to the relatively old machine I had her working on.

Oh, and I discovered that thanks to the lack of oversight by my predecessor in my position at work that the department I manage is actually running a deficit about twice as high as I had originally thought (I know where you’re coming from about the high cost of T1 connectivity, Seth!)

Fortunately, this is the United States where pretty much any problem can be solved by an influx of cash and credit. New car, new computer, new ISP for the web sites (though still handled by Macrobyte despite the outage — more on that later). They say money can’t buy happiness, but what else are you going to use it for?

Is Cryonics a Worthwhile Investment?

With the bizarre legal wrangle over whether or not Ted Williams really wanted to have is body cryonically frozen, Alcor and other cryonics comapnies and advocates were suddenly in the news. Does cryonics represent anything but a Quioxitic effort to cheat death?

I doubt it. I suppose if you’re wealthy enough and don’t mind the idea of havingt your body forzen in liquid nitrogen it might not be an unreasonable idea. After all, the odds of science being able to someday revive cryoncially frozen people is certainly a positive number — but, I suspect, a ridiculously low positive number.

The main problem I see with cryonics is that I don’t want my body to survive, but rather I want me to survive — to make cryonics worthwhile, I would want my consciousness, memories, etc. to be preserved.

But most cryonics advocates seem to have a horribly reductivist view of human consciousness. Certainly consciousness is a biological phenomenon, but cryonics seems to presuppose that it is also an incredibly mechanisitic phenomenon that can be stopped at one state and started decades later like some sort of extremely complex clock.

When looking at what is currently known about how the brain works, however, the evidence seems to be overwhelming that consciousness is largely a process.

Source:

Cryonics: Freezing for the future? The BBC, July 18, 2002.

Could Stem Cell Transplants Extend Human Life?

Researchers at the University of Kentucky report an intriguing finding in mice that one day might offer a way to extend human life spans.

The researchers examined bone marrow stem cells from several different strains of genetically modified mice. The researchers bred the mice, examining which mice had bone marrow stem cells that were the best at resisting cell damage. In this way they were able to identify that part of the mouse genome responsible for the strongest stem cells.

That turned out to be a specific gene on a chromose that had previously been lnked to longevity in mice.

The next step for the researchers will be to create genetically modified strains of mice that have extremely strong stem cells in order to see if it increases their longevity. Researcher Gary van Zant told the BBC, “We hope to show that by making stem cells more hardy we can extend the life span (of mice).”

If they do indeed find further evidence for a connection between strong stem cells and longevity, then this finding might have applications in extending human life span.

Source:

Cell transplants ‘could lengthen lives’. The BBC, July 19, 2002.

Blogging Software as Religion

John Hiler wrote an interesting roundup of the various blogging software that is out there. One of the problems with such roundups, of course, is that people are often looking for very different things from blogging software. Hiler’s piece is still helpful, though, because I think he’s pretty clear on what he wants and, therefore, what his criteria is.

I don’t agree, for example, with his assessment of the advantage of a database-driven site over a flat-page oriented site,

Why didn’t Hosted Weblogs ever really catch fire? I’m sure there are lots of opinions, but here’s my take: database-backed sites are just more complicated than their static cousins. You have to have more hardware and software backing them up, and they’re harder to figure out for designers who aren’t comfortable with programming.

That’s not to say that database-based dynamic blogging software isn’t a hot area: in fact, half of this survey is dedicated to Weblog Community software which falls in that category. It’s just that dynamic sites tend to work best when they promote community features that tap the power of having a database: comments, site tracking, community interaction…

Okay, on the first part I think he’s absolutely right. Database-driven systems are more complicated. But a database-driven system should give you a hell of a lot more than “comments, site tracking, community interaction.” Frankly, some database-driven systems don’t give much more than that, and I question what the point is of using a database system for such sites.

People already know my view of Conversant, but Movable Type is also headed in the right direction with more useful metadata features such as categorization and other features. It still can’t do everything I would need, but it’s a good system.

The odd thing is that people are apparently not happy over what Hiler had to say about their favorite blogging software. Hiler wrote today that,

Umm… some people take their blogging software pretty seriously. I am finding it helpful to think about each flavor of blogware as a separate religion faith. Depending on what software you’re using, you’re either a believer… or a heretic condemned to blogging hell.

How pointless is that? Blogging is not a one-size fits all activity, and there are as many different things people want out of weblogging as there are software packages.

For example, as much as I love Conversant, if all you want to do is make an update or two a day to a weblog and don’t care about comments or more advanced features, then Blogger or Blogger Pro is probably a better fit. Its limitations, on the other hand, caused me to abandon Blogger after just a couple months.

The more ways of updating a weblog, the better.

Protest Against Saudi Arabia on July 25, 2002

There is a protest planned for 10 a.m. July 25, 2002 in front of the Saudi Arabian embassy in Washington, DC, which is at 601 New Hampshire Avenue, NW.

I live a long way from Washington, DC, or I’d show up.

The actual issue that they’ll be protesting is the continued refusal of Saudi Arabian authorities (with collusion from our idiot State Department) to allow an American citizen to leave Saudi Arabia.

Amjad Radwan, 19, was born in the United States — her mother is American, her father Saudi Arabian. The whole family moved back to Saudi Arabia when she was a child. Her mother later divorced Amjad’s father, and tried to regain custody of Amjad, which is just about impossible under Saudi Arabia’s legal system.

But now Amjad is 19, an adult, and an American citizen. She would like to leave Saudi Arabia which is not exactly known for its egalitarian treatment of women. But here’s the problem, under Saudi Arabian law, adult women like Amjad cannot leave the country without permission from either their father or husband.

Amjad’s father so far will not allow her to leave and the idiot U.S. State Department has said that they will respect Saudi law — so even if she should find a way to reach the U.S. embassy and step on American soil, the State Department will do nothing to help this American citizen leave Saudi Arabia.

If the United States wasn’t so blinded by its pro-Saudi Arabian foreign policy, it would simply close its borders to all non-diplomatic Saudi Arabian citizens until Amjad is allowed to leave. But of course our entire Middle Eastern foreign policy is predicated on coddling this corrupt dictatorship.

It’s also surprising that this case has not received more publicity. You’d think that an American woman held against her will by a mysoginistic dictatorship would be a sensationalistic front page story. Maybe this protest will garner more attention for this poor woman’s plight.

The Problem with Salon Blogs

So Dave Winer formally announced the Salon blogs deal. Essentially Salon is just acting as a host for Radio weblogs. Download Radio for free for the first 30 days, kick in $39.95 after 30 days if you want to continue.

It’s an interesting experiment, but one that I doubt will succeed for two reasons:

1. Salon isn’t going to be around for much longer. In fact while the deal makes sense from Winer’s point of view, what is Salon getting out of it? In the best case scenario, a lot of traffic for which they can’t sell advertisements (or just wait for all hell to break loose if they try to sell ads). I suppose this is not much worse than Salon’s other crackpot ideas, but I don’t see what the upside is for them, unless Winer’s footing the bandwidth costs and kicking back part of the $39.95 to buy Radio.

2. Radio isn’t a very good blogging tool. Before you pounce on me there, I paid my $39.95 to buy a license a copy of Radio and use it regularly — it is hands down the best product I know of to do RSS aggregation. I use it to track hundreds of RSS feeds and love it.

But the problem with using Radio to edit a blog is that the program ties you down to one machine. You can view your weblog anywhere you can find a computer with an Internet connection, but you’re pretty much stuck to updating the blog from a single machine. A few years ago I don’t think anyone would have cared. Today it feels like a real pain in the butt. Maybe I’m the only person who regularly uses three or four different machines.

Just by chance I ran across a weblog the other day where the author noted he was switching from Radio to Movable Type because of the inability to update anywhere.

It’s really a shame that all of the time and effort that was poured into Radio didn’t go into making Manila a kick-ass CMS. I wouldn’t have been interested in that either, but I bet Userland could have garnered a lot of of the folks who left Blogger for Movable Type (which is the other big switch I’ve noticed, with people finally getting fed up over Blogger and Blogger Pro’s limitations and downtime).

Why People Dislike Dave Winer

Dave Winer still can’t understand why so many people have an intense dislike for him,

About a year ago talking with John Robb I lamented that I get so much hate mail. John said “Dave you’re a rock star.” I didn’t like that answer, but he was right. With thousands of readers, there are a couple of dozen who think I write just for them, and they hate me and what I say, and express it constantly and in great volume.

No, Dave, the reason they dislike you so much is your longstanding habit of attacking your own customers when they point out bugs and other problems with Userland software.

Normal users do not like being told to go to hell when they try to report bugs or complain about longstanding problems with software that never gets fixed before Userland moves on to its next project-of-the-moment.

But rather than look at his own business practices, Winer prefers sychophantic nonsense like “Dave you’re a rock star” to explain away the animosity.

And the sad thing is that Winer has created so much stop energy of his own, that people are moving on to other software packages simply to develop a relationship with companies who know how to provide decent customer service.

Most companies would look at the numerous Radio and Manila blogs that say something like “We’ve had it with Dave, we’re moving our blog to Movable Type” and step back to try to figure out what they’re doing to drive people away. But Winer simply chalks it up to abusive people who just hate him because he’s a rock star.

U.S. Economy is Healthy

Somebody had to say it and John Robb puts it succinctly — the stock market is not the American economy and the economy is rather healthy. Robb writes,

Hey, for what its worth: the US isn’t in a recession. Most economists think we are going to grow from 3-4%. Productivity is expected to grow 4%. Real wage growth is over 3%. Inflation is nearly zero. Fed rates are expected to remain unchanged for the rest of the year. In fact, even the markets are still up big from their early 90′s levels (the Dow is still 2x over its 1990 level and the NASDAQ is 3x). Housing prices are up 12% nationally.

There are still those that think we are headed for a financial depression ala Japan in the 90′s or the 1930′s US. If you are in that camp, please sell all your assets for cash and move to a cabin in the woods. I bet you can get a great deal on a survivalist cabin from all those Y2Kers that moved out there in 1999.

Robert Samuelson wrote an excellent op-ed last week pointing out that much of the blame for the stock market debacle rests with individual and institutional investors who barged in gung ho with extremely risky investments. Those investors were more than happy to benefit from windfall gains in their portfolio, but are suddnely shocked when some of those risky investments went south.

How absurdly high were stocks? Samuelson noted that historically stocks in the S&P 500 have a 14:1 Price/Earning ratio. But during the stock market bubble, stocks were trading at closer to an absurdly high 30:1.

The stock market is not collapsing, but rather returning to a more sane valuation level.

Sympathy for Leni Riefenstahl?

Reuters ran a story recently about Leni Riefenstahl’s upcoming 100th birthday in which Hitler’s favorite director thinks her post-World War II treatment was unfair.

As a young woman she struggled for fame as a ballet dancer, an actress and later as a film director. She sought out Nazi dictator Hitler, who commissioned “Triumph of the Will,” and “Olympia,” her pioneering film record of the 1936 Berlin Olympics.

This artistic link to the Nazis, as well as rumors of a romantic link with Hitler, which she has always denied, made Riefenstahl a pariah after the war.

Asked if she was unfairly cast out from her profession, she said: “Yes, I agree 100 percent.”

She defends her movies during the Nazi era as art and said she does not deserve to be forever condemned for this past.

Actually she does deserve to be “forever condemend” for her Nazi past.

Source:

Turning 100, Leni Riefenstahl Speaks About New Film. Adam Tanner, Reuters, July 16, 2002.